Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.118152 0.131707 0.145586 0.160819 0.177030 0.193730 0.212196
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.100958 0.119764 0.139743 0.162416 0.187303 0.213666 0.243585
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.089826 0.112526 0.137417 0.166454 0.199125 0.234495 0.275429
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.078502 0.103730 0.132245 0.166376 0.205646 0.248981 0.299988
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.071103 0.098611 0.130558 0.169652 0.215490 0.266877 0.328195
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.063819 0.092882 0.127542 0.170864 0.222559 0.281353 0.352379
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.056872 0.086906 0.123683 0.170600 0.227523 0.293139 0.373306
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.051431 0.082338 0.121132 0.171558 0.233659 0.306096 0.395470
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.045873 0.077122 0.117361 0.170663 0.237279 0.315886 0.413796
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.042721 0.074868 0.117157 0.174043 0.245987 0.331659 0.439162
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.038888 0.071335 0.115018 0.174749 0.251227 0.343162 0.459401
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.035243 0.067759 0.112573 0.174848 0.255552 0.353449 0.478122
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.031225 0.063409 0.108969 0.173437 0.258092 0.361797 0.494895
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.028520 0.060819 0.107629 0.174899 0.264224 0.374549 0.517054
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.026857 0.059718 0.108295 0.179003 0.273748 0.391544 0.544479
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.024135 0.056651 0.105944 0.178845 0.277627 0.401431 0.563166
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.022608 0.055436 0.106207 0.182231 0.286128 0.417141 0.589096
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.020670 0.053329 0.105007 0.183473 0.291729 0.429159 0.610458
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.018545 0.050672 0.102812 0.183180 0.295192 0.438405 0.628349
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.016898 0.048720 0.101582 0.184174 0.300326 0.449762 0.648890
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.014998 0.046073 0.099100 0.183231 0.302741 0.457563 0.664935
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.014135 0.045385 0.099700 0.186764 0.311267 0.473292 0.691043
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.012822 0.043630 0.098459 0.187500 0.315896 0.483935 0.710711